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RedMeat Signal SA

Know the market before you sell.

Data status: checking sources Market signal loading
South African red meat market intelligence and decision-support

Know the red meat market before you sell.

RedMeat Signal SA converts South African beef, weaner, feed, slaughter, and market-risk data into clear weekly signals for cattle producers, buyers, and backgrounders.

SA cattle market signal Checking
Weekly signal loading

Source status, market price discipline, and risk context will appear after live data loads.

A2/A3 Loading Weaner Loading

Red meat market information is scattered. Decisions are expensive.

Cattle producers often rely on fragmented market updates, auction rumours, agent opinions, and delayed price tables. RedMeat Signal SA brings the key indicators into one place and translates them into practical sell, hold, and buy signals.

Built for price discipline

Use the weekly market signal to sense-check offers, weaner buying levels, feed-cost pressure, and cattle marketing timing before committing stock or cash.

  • Source transparency
  • Data confidence labels
  • No black-box recommendations

What the platform gives you

Weekly red meat market signalClear weekly decision-support summary.
SA cattle market overviewBeef, weaner, feed, and macro indicators.
Sell or Hold toolCompare an offer against market benchmarks.
Weaner buying calculatorProtect margin discipline before buying calves.
Feed-cost pressure indicatorMaize and input-cost context for buying risk.
Downloadable market reportsWeekly report workflow, PDF export coming soon.
Transparent data reliability statusFresh, ageing, stale, manual, conflict, and demo labels.

Trust is part of the product.

RedMeat Signal SA tracks source age, verification status, and confidence for each indicator. Stale or fallback values are shown visibly instead of hidden.

Weekly verification process Methodology page Data reliability table

Pricing preview

Free Snapshot

R0

Delayed weekly market snapshot and data-source transparency.

Producer

R299/month

Full weekly dashboard, sell or hold tool, reports, and historical trends.

Trader / Backgrounder

R599/month

Weaner buying discipline, margin tools, scenarios, and feed pressure.

Feedlot / Professional

R1,500/month

Coming soon — feedlot margin tools, break-even calculators, CSV export.

SA Red Meat Market Signal

Weekly market snapshot loading

Current week, data health, and primary decision-support recommendation will appear after source checks complete.

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SA Beef (R/kg)
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Global Export (USD/kg)
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USD / ZAR
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SA Maize (R/ton)
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Brent Crude (USD/bbl)
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Urea (USD/ton)
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Price Signal
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🌐 Live Market Data

Prices refresh from source-backed market rows where available. Stale, manual, and fallback values are labelled instead of hidden.

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Market Signal Read

A practical red meat market read for producers and buyers. It frames price discipline, risk, and timing. It is not a guaranteed forecast.

AI Market Analyst

Claude AI

Get an AI-powered read on current conditions, timing, and decisions — uses live market data and your pattern analysis results.

Source Reliability & Freshness

Every signal should be traceable to a source, cadence and age. Stale manual inputs are treated as a risk flag.

Historical Playbook

Use these analogs to explain how similar shocks have moved through the meat market before.

Key Indicators — Last 10 Years

SA Beef Price (R/kg)
USD/ZAR
SA Maize Price (R/ton)
Brent Crude (USD/bbl)
Urea Price (USD/ton)

Recent High-Impact Events

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📊 Latest ABSA Prices Week 14 · 2–8 Apr

Source: rmis.co.za/prices ↗ (ABSA National Livestock Prices, updated Thursday)

Beef Class Price Trends

RMIS Prices ↗ AMT Weekly ↗ RPO ↗

Year-on-Year Comparison

Compare the current year’s monthly prices against the previous 3 years for each class. Shows whether 2026 is running above or below prior years.

Seasonal Price Pattern

Typical month-by-month price pattern (index: 1.0 = annual average). Shows when prices historically peak and trough so you can time sales. The red dot marks the current month.

📝 Enter This Week’s Prices

Read from RMIS Prices ↗ (ABSA data, Thursday) · AMT Weekly ↗ · RMIS Slaughter ↗. Leave blank if not available. Saved entries override the chart baseline.

📋 Field → source mapping
FieldWhere to find itRMIS label
A2/A3 OxRMIS Prices or AMT articleCattle — Class A
A2 HeiferRMIS PricesCattle — Class A (heifer subset)
AB2RMIS PricesCattle — Class AB
B2 (2-tooth)RMIS PricesCattle — Class B
C2 / C3 CowRMIS Prices or AMTCattle — Class C
WeanersRMIS Prices or AMTWeaner Calf
Heads slaughteredRMIS Slaughter StatsWeekly cattle head count

Price History Log

Your entered weekly/monthly observations. These blend with the historical baseline in all charts above.

DateA2 OxA3 OxA2 HeifHeads AB2B2C2C3D2Weaners Notes
No entries yet. Enter this week’s prices above.

SA Red Meat Price History with Event Overlays

Scroll/pinch to zoom · drag to pan
Show events:

Significant Price Movement Periods

PeriodSA beef changeMain DriverGlobal Export

Historical Pattern Matching

The engine scans 50 years of SA beef price history to find the periods most similar to the current trend window. It then projects a sensitivity band showing where prices went after each matched period — a historically-grounded probability envelope, not a forecast.

How to read this: the match score compares the shape of the current trend after normalising price levels — not the absolute rand price. Use the forward band to ask what usually followed when this shape appeared before.

Correlation — Variables vs SA Beef Price Change

Correlation coefficient (r) between each variable's annual % change and SA beef price's annual % change. Lag 0 = same year; Lag 1 = variable leads beef by 1 year (predictive); Lag 2 = 2-year lead.

Correlation Detail Table

Variable r (Lag 0) r (Lag 1 — predictive) r (Lag 2) Interpretation

Event Category — Average Beef Price Impact

Average % change in SA beef price during years when events of each category occurred.

CategoryEventsAvg Beef Change %Signal

Current Conditions Input

Adjust inputs to frame the current market. This estimates directional pressure from historic relationships; it is not an exact price forecast.

Active Event Categories

Check any event types currently active or expected in the near term:

Log Today's Event or Data Update

Track new events and price observations as they happen. Recent high-impact entries feed into the scenario pressure signal and build your own evidence log.

Tracking Log

No entries yet. Log your first event above.

RedMeat Signal SA Market Intel

Cycle analysis, seasonal positioning and 12-month scenario outlook — updated from live price data.

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⚖️ Weaner:A3 Cycle Signal

The ratio of weaner live price to A3 carcass price is the primary SA cattle cycle indicator.

W:A3
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🔴 > 0.70Expensive — correction risk within 12 months
🟡 0.58–0.70Neutral — fair value, market in balance
🟢 < 0.58Cheap — buy/hold signal, herd rebuild phase

🔄 Cycle Phase Assessment

Calculating…
YoY Weaner
YoY A3
Historical Analogue (closest matching year)

📅 12-Month Seasonal Calendar

Based on 11 years of SA price data. Red = historically weak (autumn flush). Green = historically strong. Current month highlighted.

🟥 Weak (flush)🟨 Neutral🟩 Strong (demand)■ Current month

12-Month Probability-Weighted Price Scenarios

Four scenarios weighted by probability. Seasonal index applied month-by-month. Base A3: R/kg carc. Scenario prices below are illustrative — adjust sliders to your own market view.

HARD CORRECTION · 25%
Annual avg A3: R55.00
SOFT CORRECTION (BASE) · 35%
Annual avg A3: R62.00
BULL EXTENSION · 25%
Annual avg A3: R68.00
SUPER CYCLE · 15%
Annual avg A3: R75.00
Probability sum: 100%
MonthSeason IndexProb-Weighted A3 Hard CorrBaseBullSuper vs CurrentSignal

🚦 Current Market Signals

Methodology: W:A3 signal uses 11-year SA price history (Jan 2015–Apr 2026). Seasonal indices from AVERAGEIF(month) ÷ overall average — same formula as the SA Beef DataModel Excel. Analogues match current W:A3, YoY momentum and seasonal position against closest prior year.

Producer plan preview

Sell or Hold Tool

Compare a current cattle offer against market benchmarks and holding costs before deciding whether selling or holding is more sensible.

Producer feature

Offer inputs

Advanced assumptions

Benchmark selection uses current AMT live market rows where available. If data is stale or missing, the result warns instead of forcing a decision.

Result

Trader / Backgrounder plan preview

Weaner Buying Tool

Calculate the maximum weaner price you can afford to pay before margin disappears.

Trader / Backgrounder feature

Buying assumptions

Buying discipline signal

Saved scenarios are available on the Trader / Backgrounder plan.
Signal logic

Market Drivers

Understand the indicators that shape the weekly red meat market signal.

Producer plan preview

Weekly Reports

Structured weekly reporting for market decisions, board packs, and price discipline.

RedMeat Signal SA Weekly Market Report

Commercial plans

Pricing

Start free, then unlock decision tools when the product is connected to your weekly workflow.

Free Snapshot

R0

Delayed weekly market snapshot for trust building.

  • Limited key prices
  • Basic red meat market signal
  • Data-source transparency page
  • Public market note

Not included: calculators, PDF downloads, full trends, saved scenarios.

Producer

R299/month

For commercial beef farmers selling weaners, cull cows, or slaughter-ready cattle.

  • Current weekly market dashboard
  • Full beef and weaner prices
  • Sell or Hold tool
  • Offer comparison tool
  • 30-day and 90-day outlook
  • Weekly PDF report download
  • Email market report

Trader / Backgrounder

R599/month

For cattle buyers, backgrounders, traders, and producers buying in weaners.

  • Everything in Producer
  • Weaner Buying Tool
  • Maximum buy-in price calculator
  • Margin-per-head calculator
  • Sensitivity tables
  • Saved scenarios
  • Scenario reports

Feedlot / Professional

R1,500/month

Coming soon for feedlot and professional users.

  • Feedlot margin tool
  • Break-even carcass calculator
  • Ration-cost inputs
  • CSV exports
  • Up to 3 user seats
Source transparency

Data Reliability

RedMeat Signal SA tracks the age, source, and confidence status of each market indicator. Where a value is stale, missing, manually entered, or conflicting between sources, the dashboard flags it visibly instead of hiding the issue.

MetricValueSourceSource DateLast CheckedAgeStatusConfidenceNotes
Methodology and disclaimer

How RedMeat Signal SA works

Signals are calculated indicators and scenario outlooks. They are decision-support, not guaranteed predictions.

What it tracks

A2/A3 beef, C-grade cow prices, weaners, maize/feed pressure, slaughter pressure, disease risk, seasonal risk, and macro pressure such as USD/ZAR, oil, and inflation.

How signals are calculated

The app combines observed market values, week-on-week movement, price ratios, seasonal position, input-cost pressure, and source reliability to generate general sell, hold, buy, and caution signals.

Data freshness

Each metric is labelled fresh, ageing, stale, missing, manual, verified, conflict, or demo. Stale and fallback values remain visible so users can judge the risk.

Observed vs outlook

Observed data comes from source rows or stored datasets. Calculated indicators are ratios and changes. Scenario outlooks are directional and should be stress-tested against your own costs.

Disclaimer

RedMeat Signal SA provides market information, calculated indicators, and general decision-support signals based on available South African red meat market data. The platform does not provide personalised financial, investment, legal, tax, or farm-specific consulting advice. Users remain responsible for their own cattle marketing, buying, and selling decisions. Market data may be delayed, incomplete, revised, or subject to source limitations.

🌾 Farm Decision Tool

Seasonal position, marketing signal and feedlot break-even — grounded in current market data.

Seasonal Position

Marketing Signal

🧮 Feedlot Break-Even Calculator

Enter your actual costs to find the minimum beef price you need to cover expenses.

Animal & Feed Inputs

Result

Enter inputs and click Calculate.

Tip: Defaults use benchmark sale weights where available, 56% dressing and 5:1 conversion. Change them to your own lot performance before buying.

Benchmark Sales Reference

Aggregated realised farm-sale prices and weights from the benchmark workbook. This improves assumption checking, but it is not a live market quote.

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📊 Market Ratios & Quick Links

Weaner:Slaughter Ratio

The ratio of weaner live-weight price to A3 ox carcass price indicates cycle position. Below 0.58 = cheap (buy signal); 0.58–0.65 = fair value; above 0.65 = expensive (correction risk).